by Thom Chandler » Thu Feb 04, 2021 7:04 am
More fun with math!
Population of Canada- 37.5 million
Number of Covid vaccines administered to date- 1,000,000
Elapsed time since first vaccine administered- 7.5 weeks
That’s nominally 134,000 shots / week
Let’s assume the required doses are actually available.
34 weeks remaining until the end of September
Let’s say only one half of all Canadians decide to get vaccinated
That means we need to be vaccinating at a rate of slightly more than 550,000 doses / week starting NOW.
Don’t forget that the current vaccines require 2 doses, so we really need to be sticking 1.1 million arms /week.
Or, if you’d prefer, at our current rate it will be more than 2.5 years just to get a single dose into half of the population.
But aren’t we ramping up our capacity?
Sure, but that’s a LOT of ramping up and when it inevitably doesn’t happen all the known and as yet unknown variants will be blamed.
Still think we’ll git ‘er done by September?
“...I ain’t hidin’ from nobody / nobody’s hidin’ from me”